Home team in all caps, time and line given for reference.
NY Jets (-2.5) over Miami, 9:30 AM ET
This is the London game, which is always wonky. The time is weird, the setting is weird, everything is just weird. I heard an interesting point that Miami has played in London before which could give them an edge in preparation, but after what I saw from them against Buffalo last week, I can't take them. The Jets are just a better team.
NY Jets 24, Miami 13
Jacksonville over INDIANAPOLIS (-4), 1:00 ET
Andrew Luck isn't going to play, and the Jaguars offense actually showed some signs last week against the champs. The sky is going to continue to fall in Indy tonight.
Jacksonville 20, Colts 17
Houston over ATLANTA (-5.5), 1:00 ET
Arian Foster will be back for the Texans, so look for him to have success against a weak Falcons front that can't get a push against the run or the pass. Plus, we're waiting for a monster J.J. Watt game. Two upsets in a row!
Houston 17, Atlanta 14
Carolina (-3) over TAMPA BAY, 1:00 ET
The Panthers have looked pretty good, so I got the winning this one over the lowly Buccaneers even without Luke Kuechly at MLB.
Carolina 27, Tampa Bay 20
NY Giants over Buffalo (-6), 1:00 ET
Yes the Bills have a good defense at home. Yes Tyrod Taylor looked good last week. But we saw what you can do to this defense from the Pats game; get the ball out quickly and let your playmakers rip up the Buffalo secondary for YAC. Eli Manning isn't as good as Brady (I can hear the Super Bowl jokes coming), but this is a Giants team that smells blood in the NFC East. I seebig performances for Eli and OBJ.
NY Giants 31, Buffalo 24
Oakland (-3.5) over CHICAGO, 1:00 ET
The Bears are so bad this year that OAKLAND is favored over them. All jokes aside, this Bears team has the 0-16 or 1-15 stink, and the Raiders have played well this season, at least on offense. I wouldn't bet on it though, because it's hard to go 0-16, and if there were a week for the Raiders to remind everyone "Don't bet on us, we're the Raiders!" it would be this week.
Oakland 27, Chicago 14
WASHINGTON over Philadelphia (-3), 1:00 ET
This Eagles team has done nothing to prove to me that it should be getting points on the road. Washington's defense has looked good at times this year, and my skepticism that Sam Bradford was going to go off this year proved correct. I'm definitely not sure about this one, but I trust Washington a little more than Philly.
Washington 24, Philadelphia 21
CINCINNATI (-3.5) over Kansas City, 1:00 ET
I know what you're thinking, "But Aidan, How could you trust Andy Dalton for four straight games?" It's a fair question. But don't worry, Dalton isn't due to destroy the dreams of Bengals fans and gambling degenerates alike until January. Meanwhile, the Chiefs look dead in the water after a thrashing at the hands of the Packers in front of millions on Monday night, and I don't like a short week for such a beat up team.
Cincinnati 28, Kansas City 24
SAN DIEGO (-6) over Cleveland, 4:05 ET
The Chargers aren't that good, but they're obviously better than the Browns. What I can't undrstand is why Cleveland isn't playing Johnny Manziel. They aren't going to do anything this year, so why not see what you have in the guy instead of sending Luke McCown out there? I get that you don't want to rush him in so he plays badly when he's not ready and loses his confidence, but does lack of confidence seem like it would be a problem for Johnny Manziel?
San Diego 35, Cleveland 10
Green Bay (-7.5) over SAN FRANSISCO, 4:25 ET
This 49ers defense got ripped up through the air in consecutive weeks by Ben Rothlisberger and Carson Palmer, both very good quarterbacks, so what makes you think that's going to change with Aaron Rodgers coming to town? Plus, Kaepernick is one of the most turnover prone QB's out there, and the Green Bay defense lives on turnovers.
Green Bay 37, San Fransisco 17
DENVER (-7) over Minnesota, 4:25 ET.
This isn't the mismatch it would appear to be; Peyton Mannng isn't the Peyton Manning of old, but Adrian Peterson is the AP of old. In fact, if this game was in Minny, I might pick the Vikings. However, I cant go against that Denver defense at home against a young QB.
Denver 27, Minnesota 17
ARIZONA (-7) over St. Louis, 4:25 ET
Everyone was picking the Rams as the NFC West sleeper in the offseason, and they appeared to be right after a big 34-31 win over Seattle at home Week 1. But then they showed us who they really were: a good defense with an abysmal offense. They managed just six points against the Steelers last week at home. Meanwhile, the Cardinals proved to be the real threat out of the NFC West, with Carson Palmer being absolutely clinical through three games and a strong running game and defense.
Arizona 34, St. Louis 21
NEW ORLEANS (-3) over Dallas, 8:30 ET
Yeah, I'm never going to pick Brandon Weeden, especially without Dez Bryant and when Drew Brees is back and the Saints at home. Sorry Cowboys fans.
New Orleans 28, Dallas 14
MONDAY NIGHT
SEATTLE (-10) over Detroit, 8:30 ET
Seattle at home with Kam Chancellor back pissed off about a rough start to the season and a struggling Lions team with little hope for a bounce back? Easy.
Seattle 35, Detroit 13
Last Week: 13-2
NY Jets (-2.5) over Miami, 9:30 AM ET
This is the London game, which is always wonky. The time is weird, the setting is weird, everything is just weird. I heard an interesting point that Miami has played in London before which could give them an edge in preparation, but after what I saw from them against Buffalo last week, I can't take them. The Jets are just a better team.
NY Jets 24, Miami 13
Jacksonville over INDIANAPOLIS (-4), 1:00 ET
Andrew Luck isn't going to play, and the Jaguars offense actually showed some signs last week against the champs. The sky is going to continue to fall in Indy tonight.
Jacksonville 20, Colts 17
Houston over ATLANTA (-5.5), 1:00 ET
Arian Foster will be back for the Texans, so look for him to have success against a weak Falcons front that can't get a push against the run or the pass. Plus, we're waiting for a monster J.J. Watt game. Two upsets in a row!
Houston 17, Atlanta 14
Carolina (-3) over TAMPA BAY, 1:00 ET
The Panthers have looked pretty good, so I got the winning this one over the lowly Buccaneers even without Luke Kuechly at MLB.
Carolina 27, Tampa Bay 20
NY Giants over Buffalo (-6), 1:00 ET
Yes the Bills have a good defense at home. Yes Tyrod Taylor looked good last week. But we saw what you can do to this defense from the Pats game; get the ball out quickly and let your playmakers rip up the Buffalo secondary for YAC. Eli Manning isn't as good as Brady (I can hear the Super Bowl jokes coming), but this is a Giants team that smells blood in the NFC East. I seebig performances for Eli and OBJ.
NY Giants 31, Buffalo 24
Oakland (-3.5) over CHICAGO, 1:00 ET
The Bears are so bad this year that OAKLAND is favored over them. All jokes aside, this Bears team has the 0-16 or 1-15 stink, and the Raiders have played well this season, at least on offense. I wouldn't bet on it though, because it's hard to go 0-16, and if there were a week for the Raiders to remind everyone "Don't bet on us, we're the Raiders!" it would be this week.
Oakland 27, Chicago 14
WASHINGTON over Philadelphia (-3), 1:00 ET
This Eagles team has done nothing to prove to me that it should be getting points on the road. Washington's defense has looked good at times this year, and my skepticism that Sam Bradford was going to go off this year proved correct. I'm definitely not sure about this one, but I trust Washington a little more than Philly.
Washington 24, Philadelphia 21
CINCINNATI (-3.5) over Kansas City, 1:00 ET
I know what you're thinking, "But Aidan, How could you trust Andy Dalton for four straight games?" It's a fair question. But don't worry, Dalton isn't due to destroy the dreams of Bengals fans and gambling degenerates alike until January. Meanwhile, the Chiefs look dead in the water after a thrashing at the hands of the Packers in front of millions on Monday night, and I don't like a short week for such a beat up team.
Cincinnati 28, Kansas City 24
SAN DIEGO (-6) over Cleveland, 4:05 ET
The Chargers aren't that good, but they're obviously better than the Browns. What I can't undrstand is why Cleveland isn't playing Johnny Manziel. They aren't going to do anything this year, so why not see what you have in the guy instead of sending Luke McCown out there? I get that you don't want to rush him in so he plays badly when he's not ready and loses his confidence, but does lack of confidence seem like it would be a problem for Johnny Manziel?
San Diego 35, Cleveland 10
Green Bay (-7.5) over SAN FRANSISCO, 4:25 ET
This 49ers defense got ripped up through the air in consecutive weeks by Ben Rothlisberger and Carson Palmer, both very good quarterbacks, so what makes you think that's going to change with Aaron Rodgers coming to town? Plus, Kaepernick is one of the most turnover prone QB's out there, and the Green Bay defense lives on turnovers.
Green Bay 37, San Fransisco 17
DENVER (-7) over Minnesota, 4:25 ET.
This isn't the mismatch it would appear to be; Peyton Mannng isn't the Peyton Manning of old, but Adrian Peterson is the AP of old. In fact, if this game was in Minny, I might pick the Vikings. However, I cant go against that Denver defense at home against a young QB.
Denver 27, Minnesota 17
ARIZONA (-7) over St. Louis, 4:25 ET
Everyone was picking the Rams as the NFC West sleeper in the offseason, and they appeared to be right after a big 34-31 win over Seattle at home Week 1. But then they showed us who they really were: a good defense with an abysmal offense. They managed just six points against the Steelers last week at home. Meanwhile, the Cardinals proved to be the real threat out of the NFC West, with Carson Palmer being absolutely clinical through three games and a strong running game and defense.
Arizona 34, St. Louis 21
NEW ORLEANS (-3) over Dallas, 8:30 ET
Yeah, I'm never going to pick Brandon Weeden, especially without Dez Bryant and when Drew Brees is back and the Saints at home. Sorry Cowboys fans.
New Orleans 28, Dallas 14
MONDAY NIGHT
SEATTLE (-10) over Detroit, 8:30 ET
Seattle at home with Kam Chancellor back pissed off about a rough start to the season and a struggling Lions team with little hope for a bounce back? Easy.
Seattle 35, Detroit 13
Last Week: 13-2
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