I'm sorry I couldn't get these picks out last weekend, I had so much work to do. I will do my very best to get them out every week even if each pick is very short. As always, the home team is in caps and the line and time are given for reference.
Denver (-4) over Cleveland, 1:00 ET.
Peyton Manning is due for a five-interception game where he loses it all by himself and the sports media talks about it all week. I just don't think it's this week.
Denver 24, Cleveland 10
Cincinnati (-3) over BUFFALO, 1:00 ET
I would have picked Buffalo here if not for quarterback Tyrod Taylor going out with an injury. The Bengals are due for a loss and the Bills can play really well at home, but without Taylor, I don't see how the Bills get it done.
Cincinnati 28, Buffalo 16
MINNESOTA (-3.5) over Kansas City, 1:00 ET.
I was looking for any reason to pick the Chiefs besides the fact that they're underachieving and desperate for a win (which still might be enough). They just don't really have a talent advantage, not without Jamaal Charles. I'm not confident, but I'm picking the Vikings.
Minnesota 23, Kansas City 20
Houston over JACKSONVILLE (-2), 1:00 ET.
Houston has been the worst team in football this year, only beating the Buccaneers in Week 3, and Jacksonville's offense has looked nice run by Blake Bortles. However, I think a combination of the new feeling of confidence for the Jags, the return of Brian Hoyer as Houston's starting QB, and my sense of foreboding telling me a huge J.J. Watt game is coming will lead the Texans over the Jaguars.
Houston 20, Jacksonville 17
Chicago over DETROIT (-3.5), 1:00 ET.
Why is this line so high? I genuinely think the Bears are better than the Lions. Chicago has some nice defensive players, and Jay Cutler is running the offense much better than last year. I think the logic is that Detroit needs to win at some point, but I'm not sure this is the week after dealing with questions about Matthew Stafford getting benched last Sunday after throwing three interceptions.
Chicago 27, Detroit 24
NY JETS (-6.5) over Washington, 1:00 ET.
The line is too high, but since we're just picking the games, I'll still roll with the Jets. I was looking for any reason to pick against the Jets, but that defense is going to give a struggling Washington offense fits, and the offense should do just enough to win, even though Washington's defense has looked surprisingly good this year. That the Jets are coming off a bye week, meaning they're rested and have been preparing for Washington for about two weeks is the deciding factor.
New York 20, Washington 16
Arizona (-4) over PITTSBURGH, 1:00 ET.
Trust me, there's no way this really good Cardinals team is losing to Mike Vick. Carson Palmer and Chris Johnson will have a field day against that defense.
Arizona 35, Pittsburgh 17
Miami over Tennessee (-2), 1:00 ET.
The Dolphins are coming off their bye after firing their head coach and underperforming horribly in the first part of the season. I think they use the rest, preparation, and motivation to take down a middling Titans squad.
Miami 20, Tennessee 17.
SEATTLE (-7) over Carolina, 4:05 ET.
The line seems way too high for a Seahawks team that hasn't proved it can live up to the success of the past few years, giving away big leads at the end of games because of their vaunted defense. But they've probably heard this all over the sports media and will be motivated to chop Cam Newton's head off on Sunday. In addition, here's who the Panthers have played in their so-far undefeated season:
Jaguars, 20-9
Texans, 24-17
Saints, 27-22
Buccaneers, 37-23
That's a murderer's row of crap. The Panthers need to prove it to me against a legitimate opponent, and that's not happening at CenturyLink Field.
Seattle 31, Carolina 20.
GREEN BAY (-10.5) over San Diego, 4:25 ET.
I'm going to echo the thoughts of the immortal Skip Bayless here; Why is it that the Packers always seem to be playing at home? Whenever I watch a Packers game, they're almost always at home. I don't get it. Anyway, they're going to kill a lackluster San Diego team in their continuation of an incredibly easy schedule.
Green Bay 34, San Diego 23
SAN FRANSISCO over Baltimore (-2), 4:25 ET.
Here's the thing: Colin Kaepernick isn't a horrid quarterback when the defense doesn't get any pressure. The Ravens have no pass rush anymore after the injuries they've had, and they might not be able to stop Carlos Hyde on the ground either. On the other side, The 49ers defense showed it can stop offenses when they held Green Bay to 17 points two weeks ago. In a rematch of Super Bowl XLVII, I'm taking the Niners.
San Fransisco 20, Baltimore 17
New England (-9.5) over INDINAPOLIS, 8:30 ET.
I and Pats fans everywhere have been waiting for this one. The narrative all week has been how the Patriots want to absolutely destroy the Colts for accusing them of deflating footballs. I agree, but when everybody says something, it usually doesn't go that way. I think the Colts have their pride n the line, too, because the Pats have beaten the pulp out of them ever since Andrew Luck got to Indy. I see a shootout if Luck plays and less of a shootout if Matt Hasselbeck plays.
New England 42, Indianapolis 31
MONDAY NIGHT
NY Giants over PHILADELPHIA (-3.5), 8:30 ET.
Why do people still think the Eagles are good? The rules are the home team gets three at home, so this line is insinuating that the Eagles and the Giants are relatively equal teams. They aren't, and I don't see how anyone could come to that conclusion at this point in the season. Oh wow, the Eagles beat the Saints! Do you want a medal Eagles fans? Give me a break.
NY Giants 28, Philadelphia 24
Last week (Week 4): 10-5
Season: 23-7
Denver (-4) over Cleveland, 1:00 ET.
Peyton Manning is due for a five-interception game where he loses it all by himself and the sports media talks about it all week. I just don't think it's this week.
Denver 24, Cleveland 10
Cincinnati (-3) over BUFFALO, 1:00 ET
I would have picked Buffalo here if not for quarterback Tyrod Taylor going out with an injury. The Bengals are due for a loss and the Bills can play really well at home, but without Taylor, I don't see how the Bills get it done.
Cincinnati 28, Buffalo 16
MINNESOTA (-3.5) over Kansas City, 1:00 ET.
I was looking for any reason to pick the Chiefs besides the fact that they're underachieving and desperate for a win (which still might be enough). They just don't really have a talent advantage, not without Jamaal Charles. I'm not confident, but I'm picking the Vikings.
Minnesota 23, Kansas City 20
Houston over JACKSONVILLE (-2), 1:00 ET.
Houston has been the worst team in football this year, only beating the Buccaneers in Week 3, and Jacksonville's offense has looked nice run by Blake Bortles. However, I think a combination of the new feeling of confidence for the Jags, the return of Brian Hoyer as Houston's starting QB, and my sense of foreboding telling me a huge J.J. Watt game is coming will lead the Texans over the Jaguars.
Houston 20, Jacksonville 17
Chicago over DETROIT (-3.5), 1:00 ET.
Why is this line so high? I genuinely think the Bears are better than the Lions. Chicago has some nice defensive players, and Jay Cutler is running the offense much better than last year. I think the logic is that Detroit needs to win at some point, but I'm not sure this is the week after dealing with questions about Matthew Stafford getting benched last Sunday after throwing three interceptions.
Chicago 27, Detroit 24
NY JETS (-6.5) over Washington, 1:00 ET.
The line is too high, but since we're just picking the games, I'll still roll with the Jets. I was looking for any reason to pick against the Jets, but that defense is going to give a struggling Washington offense fits, and the offense should do just enough to win, even though Washington's defense has looked surprisingly good this year. That the Jets are coming off a bye week, meaning they're rested and have been preparing for Washington for about two weeks is the deciding factor.
New York 20, Washington 16
Arizona (-4) over PITTSBURGH, 1:00 ET.
Trust me, there's no way this really good Cardinals team is losing to Mike Vick. Carson Palmer and Chris Johnson will have a field day against that defense.
Arizona 35, Pittsburgh 17
Miami over Tennessee (-2), 1:00 ET.
The Dolphins are coming off their bye after firing their head coach and underperforming horribly in the first part of the season. I think they use the rest, preparation, and motivation to take down a middling Titans squad.
Miami 20, Tennessee 17.
SEATTLE (-7) over Carolina, 4:05 ET.
The line seems way too high for a Seahawks team that hasn't proved it can live up to the success of the past few years, giving away big leads at the end of games because of their vaunted defense. But they've probably heard this all over the sports media and will be motivated to chop Cam Newton's head off on Sunday. In addition, here's who the Panthers have played in their so-far undefeated season:
Jaguars, 20-9
Texans, 24-17
Saints, 27-22
Buccaneers, 37-23
That's a murderer's row of crap. The Panthers need to prove it to me against a legitimate opponent, and that's not happening at CenturyLink Field.
Seattle 31, Carolina 20.
GREEN BAY (-10.5) over San Diego, 4:25 ET.
I'm going to echo the thoughts of the immortal Skip Bayless here; Why is it that the Packers always seem to be playing at home? Whenever I watch a Packers game, they're almost always at home. I don't get it. Anyway, they're going to kill a lackluster San Diego team in their continuation of an incredibly easy schedule.
Green Bay 34, San Diego 23
SAN FRANSISCO over Baltimore (-2), 4:25 ET.
Here's the thing: Colin Kaepernick isn't a horrid quarterback when the defense doesn't get any pressure. The Ravens have no pass rush anymore after the injuries they've had, and they might not be able to stop Carlos Hyde on the ground either. On the other side, The 49ers defense showed it can stop offenses when they held Green Bay to 17 points two weeks ago. In a rematch of Super Bowl XLVII, I'm taking the Niners.
San Fransisco 20, Baltimore 17
New England (-9.5) over INDINAPOLIS, 8:30 ET.
I and Pats fans everywhere have been waiting for this one. The narrative all week has been how the Patriots want to absolutely destroy the Colts for accusing them of deflating footballs. I agree, but when everybody says something, it usually doesn't go that way. I think the Colts have their pride n the line, too, because the Pats have beaten the pulp out of them ever since Andrew Luck got to Indy. I see a shootout if Luck plays and less of a shootout if Matt Hasselbeck plays.
New England 42, Indianapolis 31
MONDAY NIGHT
NY Giants over PHILADELPHIA (-3.5), 8:30 ET.
Why do people still think the Eagles are good? The rules are the home team gets three at home, so this line is insinuating that the Eagles and the Giants are relatively equal teams. They aren't, and I don't see how anyone could come to that conclusion at this point in the season. Oh wow, the Eagles beat the Saints! Do you want a medal Eagles fans? Give me a break.
NY Giants 28, Philadelphia 24
Last week (Week 4): 10-5
Season: 23-7
Nice predictions!!! Love the blog! You should do a Matthew berry style love/hate!!!!!! Me and the other fans would love that.
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