As usual, the time and line are given for reference. Home team in all caps.
Buffalo (-3.5) over Jacksonville, 9:30 AM ET.
This is another London game, which is always wonky and unpredictable, so I wouldn't bet on it. It feels like this Jacksonville offense needs to be taken down a peg, and the talented Bills defense has a lot of motivation after being criticized this week.
(Hold on...)
Wait, EJ Manuel is starting for the Bills in place of Tyrod Taylor? That makes it easy then.
Jacksonville over Buffalo (-3.5).
Jacksonville 23, Buffalo 17
ST. LOUIS (-6.5) over Cleveland, 1:00 PM ET.
I don't buy this Josh McCown resurgence. He looked good at times against the league's best defense last week in Denver, bt he wasn't all that good either. The Rams now have a really good running attack with Todd Gurley to tear up a Browns defense weak against the run.
St. Louis 27, Cleveland 20
Pittsburgh over KANSAS CITY (-3), 1:00 ET.
I don't know why Kansas City is ever favored anymore. With Landry Jones replacing Mike Vick at QB, the Steelers have someone who can actually throw the ball ten yards accurately, and KC hasn't done anything to prove to me that they should be favored.
Pittsburgh 27, Kansas City 21.
MIAMI (-4.5) over Houston, 1:00 ET.
Miami is playing a lot better since they fired head coach Joe Philbin. I just don't think they enjoyed playng for him. Houston is one of the worst three teams in the league, and won't be motivated after getting a win last week.
Mami 24, Houston 16.
NEW ENGLAND (-7.5) over NY Jets, 1:00 ET.
This line is too high. New England is down to their third left tackle against the best second best defense in the league with a great ability to rush the passer. Plus, they have Darrelle Revis back, so Brady can't always rely on those quick passes to avoid pressure. I'm still picking the Pats to win, but the health issues are troubling.
New England 27, New York 24.
Minnesota (-1.5) over DETROIT, 1:00 ET.
This one is troubling for me. The Vikings have Adrian Peterson, a godd defense, and weapons on the outside, but this feels like a Bridgewater trap game. I still don't trust Teddy Two Gloves all that much. Meanwhile, the Lions got their first win of the season last week in overtime against the Bears. The Vikings are better than the Bears, so...
Minnesota 27, Detroit 23.
Atlanta (-6.5) over TENNESSEE, 1:00 ET.
Atlanta has had a long week to prepare for the Titans, will be motivated after a shellacking at the hands of the rival Saints, and on top of all that, Marcus Mariota won't play for the Titans.
Atlanta 34, Tennessee 20.
WASHINGTON (-3) over Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET.
This one is really troubling for me. I think Washington is pretty good, at last their defense is. But Doug Martin is on my fantasy team and I really need him to put up numbers against a Washington defense that struggled with the run in recent weeks. This all might come down to which quarterback, Jameis Winston or Kirk Cousins, throws more interceptions, and since Washington has the better defense, I'll roll with them.
Washington 26, Tampa Bay 20.
INDIANAPOLIS (-4.5) over New Orleans, 1:00 ET.
Indy was able to get back into an offensive groove last week against a wounded Pats defense that's still better than the putrid New Orleans defense. The Saints got a big win last week and probably won't be very motivated.
Indianapolis 34, New Orleans 24.
Oakland over SAN DIEGO (-3.5), 4:05 ET.
Oakland is no longer the absolute worst team in the league every year. They have legitimate offensive weapons and I think they'll tear up that weak San Diego defense. Plus, the game is in San Diego, which actually might mean home field advantage for the Raiders. I mean, I can't really blame San Diegoans for not getting all hyped up over football when it's 70 degrees every day.
Oakland 31, San Diego 27.
Dallas over NY GIANTS (-3), 4:25 ET.
I saw some major problems with the Giants' offensive line against Philly on Monday, problems that Greg Hardy and the revamped Cowboys offensive line can exploit. Dallas will be letting the leash off of running back Christine Michael who should be freed up by the removal of Brandon Weeden from the starting quarterback role replaced by Matt Cassell. I like an upset here.
Dallas 24, New York 17.
CAROLINA (-3) over Philadelphia, 8:30 ET.
I've been saying it since the beginning of the season; Sam Bradford and the Eagles aren't very good. But Aidan, they just dismantled the Giants last week when you said the Giants would win. Congrats, the Eagles beat someone else in this putrid ivision. The Panthers, meanwhile, shrugged off questions about their schedule when they came back to beat the Seahawks on the road. I will give the Eagles this, their defense is pretty good, especially the front line. But Carolina has a good defense too, and a much more effective overall offense. That Eagles front seven almost made me pick them, but the Panthers, at home, which probably means three Sam Bradford turnovers, is too good to pass up.
Carolina 24, Philadelphia 17.
I'll post my Monday Night Pick separately, either tonight or tomorrow before the game.
Last Week: 9-5.
Season: 32-12
Buffalo (-3.5) over Jacksonville, 9:30 AM ET.
This is another London game, which is always wonky and unpredictable, so I wouldn't bet on it. It feels like this Jacksonville offense needs to be taken down a peg, and the talented Bills defense has a lot of motivation after being criticized this week.
(Hold on...)
Wait, EJ Manuel is starting for the Bills in place of Tyrod Taylor? That makes it easy then.
Jacksonville over Buffalo (-3.5).
Jacksonville 23, Buffalo 17
ST. LOUIS (-6.5) over Cleveland, 1:00 PM ET.
I don't buy this Josh McCown resurgence. He looked good at times against the league's best defense last week in Denver, bt he wasn't all that good either. The Rams now have a really good running attack with Todd Gurley to tear up a Browns defense weak against the run.
St. Louis 27, Cleveland 20
Pittsburgh over KANSAS CITY (-3), 1:00 ET.
I don't know why Kansas City is ever favored anymore. With Landry Jones replacing Mike Vick at QB, the Steelers have someone who can actually throw the ball ten yards accurately, and KC hasn't done anything to prove to me that they should be favored.
Pittsburgh 27, Kansas City 21.
MIAMI (-4.5) over Houston, 1:00 ET.
Miami is playing a lot better since they fired head coach Joe Philbin. I just don't think they enjoyed playng for him. Houston is one of the worst three teams in the league, and won't be motivated after getting a win last week.
Mami 24, Houston 16.
NEW ENGLAND (-7.5) over NY Jets, 1:00 ET.
This line is too high. New England is down to their third left tackle against the best second best defense in the league with a great ability to rush the passer. Plus, they have Darrelle Revis back, so Brady can't always rely on those quick passes to avoid pressure. I'm still picking the Pats to win, but the health issues are troubling.
New England 27, New York 24.
Minnesota (-1.5) over DETROIT, 1:00 ET.
This one is troubling for me. The Vikings have Adrian Peterson, a godd defense, and weapons on the outside, but this feels like a Bridgewater trap game. I still don't trust Teddy Two Gloves all that much. Meanwhile, the Lions got their first win of the season last week in overtime against the Bears. The Vikings are better than the Bears, so...
Minnesota 27, Detroit 23.
Atlanta (-6.5) over TENNESSEE, 1:00 ET.
Atlanta has had a long week to prepare for the Titans, will be motivated after a shellacking at the hands of the rival Saints, and on top of all that, Marcus Mariota won't play for the Titans.
Atlanta 34, Tennessee 20.
WASHINGTON (-3) over Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET.
This one is really troubling for me. I think Washington is pretty good, at last their defense is. But Doug Martin is on my fantasy team and I really need him to put up numbers against a Washington defense that struggled with the run in recent weeks. This all might come down to which quarterback, Jameis Winston or Kirk Cousins, throws more interceptions, and since Washington has the better defense, I'll roll with them.
Washington 26, Tampa Bay 20.
INDIANAPOLIS (-4.5) over New Orleans, 1:00 ET.
Indy was able to get back into an offensive groove last week against a wounded Pats defense that's still better than the putrid New Orleans defense. The Saints got a big win last week and probably won't be very motivated.
Indianapolis 34, New Orleans 24.
Oakland over SAN DIEGO (-3.5), 4:05 ET.
Oakland is no longer the absolute worst team in the league every year. They have legitimate offensive weapons and I think they'll tear up that weak San Diego defense. Plus, the game is in San Diego, which actually might mean home field advantage for the Raiders. I mean, I can't really blame San Diegoans for not getting all hyped up over football when it's 70 degrees every day.
Oakland 31, San Diego 27.
Dallas over NY GIANTS (-3), 4:25 ET.
I saw some major problems with the Giants' offensive line against Philly on Monday, problems that Greg Hardy and the revamped Cowboys offensive line can exploit. Dallas will be letting the leash off of running back Christine Michael who should be freed up by the removal of Brandon Weeden from the starting quarterback role replaced by Matt Cassell. I like an upset here.
Dallas 24, New York 17.
CAROLINA (-3) over Philadelphia, 8:30 ET.
I've been saying it since the beginning of the season; Sam Bradford and the Eagles aren't very good. But Aidan, they just dismantled the Giants last week when you said the Giants would win. Congrats, the Eagles beat someone else in this putrid ivision. The Panthers, meanwhile, shrugged off questions about their schedule when they came back to beat the Seahawks on the road. I will give the Eagles this, their defense is pretty good, especially the front line. But Carolina has a good defense too, and a much more effective overall offense. That Eagles front seven almost made me pick them, but the Panthers, at home, which probably means three Sam Bradford turnovers, is too good to pass up.
Carolina 24, Philadelphia 17.
I'll post my Monday Night Pick separately, either tonight or tomorrow before the game.
Last Week: 9-5.
Season: 32-12
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