Let's hop into these Week 8 picks, as always, the home team is in caps and the time and line of the game are given for reference.
LONDON GAME
Kansas City (-3.5) over Detroit, 9:30 AM ET.
Nothing about this game screams "sure bet". Not only are the teams not very good, but it's in London, which always makes it unpredictable. Look for coaches Andy Reid and Jim Caldwell to try to lose this game with their clock management.
Kansas City 27, Detroit 21.
Minnesota (-1) over CHICAGO, 1:00 ET.
I think this game will be very close, but in the end the Vikings defense will hold against Jay Cutler (who's been quietly good this season and underrated). Look for a low-scorer from these two classic NFC North rivals.
Minnesota 20, Chicago 17.
ATLANTA (-7) over Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET.
Atlanta is looking to bounce back after some rough games against inferior opponents, while Tampa is probably still reeling from losing a 24-point lead in the second half against Washington last week. I just think Atlanta is a better team, and Matt Ryan is poised for his first prolific game this season (he better be since he's on my fantasy team).
Atlanta 31, Tampa Bay 24.
NY Giants over NEW ORLEANS (-3), 1:00 ET.
The Giants haven't played all that well since Week 4 when they beat up on the Bills, but this point in the season is exactly when Eli Manning explodes for four touchdowns. Also, New York's main weakness is against the run, and the Saints are more of a pass-happy team. Odell Beckham Jr. could go off this week.
New York 31, New Orleans 28.
ST. LOUIS (-8.5) over San Fransisco, 1:00 ET.
I'm afraid for Colin Kaepernick this weekend. That Rams defense is really good. They can get after the passer, and Kaepernick turns into the worst QB in the league when under pressure. The only outcome I would be surprised by is a 49ers win. I wouldn't be surprised if Kaepernick threw 6 interceptions. It's gonna be a rough day.
St. Louis 35, San Fransisco 10.
Arizona (-6) over CLEVELAND, 1:00 ET.
This would be a perfect time to pick against Arizona; they struggled with an inferior Baltimore team last week, just like they've struggled against lesser opponents all season, short week, road game John Brown gimpy... But they're playing the Browns. Oh well.
Arizona 31, Cleveland 21.
PITTSBURGH (PK) over Cincinnati, 1:00 ET.
Big Ben is back! Yep, the Steelers' savior has returned to get Pittsburgh into that second wild card spot, and it begins today against the Bengals. Did you really think Cincy was good enough to go undefeated?
Pittsburgh 31, Cincinnati 28.
San Diego over BALTIMORE (-3.5), 1:00 ET.
I'm basing this pick entirely on two things: 1) The Chargers are actually better off playing on the road because their fans care so little that the fans of the opposing team actually make up more than half of the people in the stands, and 2) you can throw on the Ravens and Philip Rivers threw for 500 yards a few weeks ago. Plus, I hate Baltimore.
San Diego 28, Baltimore 24.
Tennessee over HOUSTON (-4), 1:00 ET.
I know Marcus Mariota is out for the second straight game, but listen; the Texans are the worst team in football. They really are, and the difference between a good rookie QB and an average second year QB won't be enough of a difference to change that.
Tennessee 17, Houston 13.
OAKLAND over NY Jets (-3), 4:05 ET.
Yes, the Jets have a really, really good defense, but I don't like their vibe after that Pats game two weeks ago. Something tells me that they're just off, because they should've won that game. I think they've been thinking about that game for two weeks, not focusing on the precocious Raiders. It's time for this young Oakland squad to make a statement win.
Oakland 27, New York 24.
Seattle (-5) over DALLAS, 4:25 ET.
So Dez Bryant is back. Big whoop. All it means is that he's going to re-injure himself because he came back early and my fantasy team will be screwed all over again. Seattle ain't losing to a back-up QB, and it won't be close.
Seattle 35, Dallas 13.
Green Bay (-2.5) over DENVER, 8:30 ET.
Green Bay's defense is young, swarming, and gets a lot of turnovers. I think this might be the night when Peyton Manning throws five INT's and loses the game by himself, followed by a week of dopey ESPN on-air discussions of "Is Peyton done?", followed by Denver's defense throttling Indy the next week so that every commentator feels it's safe to act as though Manning is still an elite QB again. I got Rodgers and the Pack.
Green Bay 26, Denver 20.
Last Week: 9-4
Season: 41-16.
LONDON GAME
Kansas City (-3.5) over Detroit, 9:30 AM ET.
Nothing about this game screams "sure bet". Not only are the teams not very good, but it's in London, which always makes it unpredictable. Look for coaches Andy Reid and Jim Caldwell to try to lose this game with their clock management.
Kansas City 27, Detroit 21.
Minnesota (-1) over CHICAGO, 1:00 ET.
I think this game will be very close, but in the end the Vikings defense will hold against Jay Cutler (who's been quietly good this season and underrated). Look for a low-scorer from these two classic NFC North rivals.
Minnesota 20, Chicago 17.
ATLANTA (-7) over Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET.
Atlanta is looking to bounce back after some rough games against inferior opponents, while Tampa is probably still reeling from losing a 24-point lead in the second half against Washington last week. I just think Atlanta is a better team, and Matt Ryan is poised for his first prolific game this season (he better be since he's on my fantasy team).
Atlanta 31, Tampa Bay 24.
NY Giants over NEW ORLEANS (-3), 1:00 ET.
The Giants haven't played all that well since Week 4 when they beat up on the Bills, but this point in the season is exactly when Eli Manning explodes for four touchdowns. Also, New York's main weakness is against the run, and the Saints are more of a pass-happy team. Odell Beckham Jr. could go off this week.
New York 31, New Orleans 28.
ST. LOUIS (-8.5) over San Fransisco, 1:00 ET.
I'm afraid for Colin Kaepernick this weekend. That Rams defense is really good. They can get after the passer, and Kaepernick turns into the worst QB in the league when under pressure. The only outcome I would be surprised by is a 49ers win. I wouldn't be surprised if Kaepernick threw 6 interceptions. It's gonna be a rough day.
St. Louis 35, San Fransisco 10.
Arizona (-6) over CLEVELAND, 1:00 ET.
This would be a perfect time to pick against Arizona; they struggled with an inferior Baltimore team last week, just like they've struggled against lesser opponents all season, short week, road game John Brown gimpy... But they're playing the Browns. Oh well.
Arizona 31, Cleveland 21.
PITTSBURGH (PK) over Cincinnati, 1:00 ET.
Big Ben is back! Yep, the Steelers' savior has returned to get Pittsburgh into that second wild card spot, and it begins today against the Bengals. Did you really think Cincy was good enough to go undefeated?
Pittsburgh 31, Cincinnati 28.
San Diego over BALTIMORE (-3.5), 1:00 ET.
I'm basing this pick entirely on two things: 1) The Chargers are actually better off playing on the road because their fans care so little that the fans of the opposing team actually make up more than half of the people in the stands, and 2) you can throw on the Ravens and Philip Rivers threw for 500 yards a few weeks ago. Plus, I hate Baltimore.
San Diego 28, Baltimore 24.
Tennessee over HOUSTON (-4), 1:00 ET.
I know Marcus Mariota is out for the second straight game, but listen; the Texans are the worst team in football. They really are, and the difference between a good rookie QB and an average second year QB won't be enough of a difference to change that.
Tennessee 17, Houston 13.
OAKLAND over NY Jets (-3), 4:05 ET.
Yes, the Jets have a really, really good defense, but I don't like their vibe after that Pats game two weeks ago. Something tells me that they're just off, because they should've won that game. I think they've been thinking about that game for two weeks, not focusing on the precocious Raiders. It's time for this young Oakland squad to make a statement win.
Oakland 27, New York 24.
Seattle (-5) over DALLAS, 4:25 ET.
So Dez Bryant is back. Big whoop. All it means is that he's going to re-injure himself because he came back early and my fantasy team will be screwed all over again. Seattle ain't losing to a back-up QB, and it won't be close.
Seattle 35, Dallas 13.
Green Bay (-2.5) over DENVER, 8:30 ET.
Green Bay's defense is young, swarming, and gets a lot of turnovers. I think this might be the night when Peyton Manning throws five INT's and loses the game by himself, followed by a week of dopey ESPN on-air discussions of "Is Peyton done?", followed by Denver's defense throttling Indy the next week so that every commentator feels it's safe to act as though Manning is still an elite QB again. I got Rodgers and the Pack.
Green Bay 26, Denver 20.
Last Week: 9-4
Season: 41-16.
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